Posted by NBC12 Meteorologist Jim Duncan
The official begining of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season is June 1st. There have already been several season outlooks issued by private and government (NOAA) forecasters. All seem to point to an active season (with respect to numbers of named storms). We’ve seen this script before, namely for the past two years. The perception is that last year was not an active season at all, chiefly because only one storm made direct contact with the U.S. mainland. The reality, however, shows that it did turn out to be quite busy, with many named storms and no fewer than 2 major hurricanes in the vicinity of Yucatan and Central America. Steering currents aloft kept the vast majority of remaining tropical activity last year either over open Atlantic waters, or steered significantly south of the U.S.
The point is… it is not the number of storms that is so important, rather it is where they track and make landfall. What makes a storm season memorable takes only a single storm… something we all need to remember when we get caught up in the pre-season numbers game.