UPDATE to below post, 12/29: Sounds like some of you check out the medium-range (7-15 days) computer guidance online. Wouldn’t put too much faith in it. As noted in my main post below, all we need are the right “mix” of ingredients, if not January, maybe Feb. At least looks somewhat promising. Jim
Numerous comments posted recently have a common thread… depression. There’s a strong feeling that snowstorms simply do not happen here, and probably won’t ever again.
There is no doubt that our snow drought over the past few years has cast a vision of an altered winter climate for Virginia, but let me try to keep giving all fellow snow fanatics some hope. There have been long, multi-year periods in the past with similar cycles. Yet, the balance at some point, arrives.
It is often a single storm over the course of an entire winter that brings most of that season’s snow total. But think of all of the necessary ingredients that need to coalesce for that to happen; arctic air, the “just-right” configuration of the jet stream, and a coastal storm with explosive development.
That could happen this winter. Best chances are always greatest in February, and there’s no reason to necessarily think that it won’t occur.
A final thought… New Orleans, Las Vegas, and other parts of the country that rarely see snow, did get snow recently. If it can happen there, it most surely can here too.
Posted by Jim Duncan