Late in January I blogged about the prospects for some snow during the early part of February. What we saw earlier this week didn’t amount to a “hill of beans”, as they say. Medium-range computer guidance, the data that we use to predict the weather beyond the next 5 days, has frankly been a bust.
That being said, we now try to peer ahead to when our next opportunity for snow will be, as time will be running out soon. And once again, I look at the computer guidance with a VERY skeptical eye. It points to a wait of at least another 10-days from now until we may start to see improving chances.
A warmer pattern change should carry us from this weekend into a good chunk of next week. The following week (President’s Day week) is when the tide could turn back to a much colder pattern with more southern storm trajectories possible.
Posted by Jim Duncan
UPDATE posted 2/6: I have increasing confidence that the last half of this month will be cold and could present a decent opportunity for snow. Pieces may fall into place after the warm spell we’re now in finally breaks. The week of President’s Day, and the following week as well, will bear close scrutiny. Jim