Summer isn’t even over yet, and predictions for the upcoming winter from various “almanacs” are making the news wires. Here’s the bottom line:
There will be predictions from some folks for a snowy and cold winter. There will be contrary guesses from others in the business. There is absolutely no assurance that any of these forecasts will be accurate, and there’s the rub (pardon the cliche).
Making long-range predictions is always subject to much variability. A single well-placed, perfectly timed convergence of cold air and storminess can mean a foot of snow for our locale, i.e. our average annual snowfall can occur from just one storm, even in the midst of an otherwise mild winter.
It’s a gamble, and the odds are long for any long-range forecast to consistently verify.
Posted by Jim Duncan