Snowy winter?

Summer isn’t even over yet, and predictions for the upcoming winter from various “almanacs” are making the news wires.   Here’s the bottom line:

There will be predictions from some folks for a snowy and cold winter.  There will be contrary guesses from others in the business.  There is absolutely no assurance that any of these forecasts will be accurate, and there’s the rub (pardon the cliche).

Making long-range predictions is always subject to much variability.  A single well-placed, perfectly timed convergence of cold air and storminess can mean a foot of snow for our locale, i.e. our average annual snowfall can occur from just one storm, even in the midst of an otherwise mild winter.

It’s a gamble, and the odds are long for any long-range forecast to consistently verify.

Posted by Jim Duncan


10 Responses to Snowy winter?

  1. Jason Myers says:

    I want a warm winter! I dont want snow who needs it its just frozen rainfall bring on one of those 80 degree richmond januarys 🙂

  2. ~~~~~~ says:

    12 News telephone service currently says temperature of 79 F. My outside digital thermometer also reads 79 F. 12 News forecasted a low temperature of 56 for last night. My outside digital thermometer read 45 !
    It is normally very accurate and there was a nip in the air last night so i believe it was probably right.

  3. Tierre (TY-ree) says:

    Looking forward to the snow.

  4. Mary Scherer says:

    Bring on the snow! I love it.

  5. Mighty Dyckerson says:

    Not only am I predicting a major snowfall this winter, but I also predict Ukrop’s will run out of milk, Lowe’s will run out of rock salt, and NBC12 News will do yet another story about Ukrop’s running out of milk and Lowe’s running out of rock salt.

  6. Judy says:

    Well here I am again all giddy about the long-range forecast even though I should know better by now. However, being the way that I am, I still look forward to snow. It doesn’t even have to be a wonderland all winter. I would be happy with just one “good snow”. Needless to say I will go through another winter losing sleep checking to see if it is snowing during the night. If it is going to snow, I want to see it! 🙂

    • Chris says:

      i don’t think i am going to worry about that just yet. although i do think we are do for a pretty cold winter, just hope when the cold shows up there is some moisture around.

  7. JamesL says:

    Time to start loading the freezer with bread….

  8. Jeff J. says:

    Agreed. I don’t put any faith in long-term forecasts. The surprise snowstorms are more fun anyway.

  9. BrianS says:

    Jim – Agreed. No offense here, but heck forcasters have a hard time getting the 5 day forcast accurate in most cases, not to mention something long-term.

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