Two Decent Storms… But No Snow

The rain expected Tonight/Friday and Late Sunday/Monday could add up to 2 or 3″ of rain.  If the rain comes in on the high side of forecasts, we may see some minor river flooding on the James or Appomattox.

There may be some snow tonight/Friday in the mountains but the metro area will again see just rain as the January thaw continues.  The long range outlook keeps the arctic air at bay for the next two weeks… so the chance of snow stays low for a while.

*posted by Andrew Freiden


27 Responses to Two Decent Storms… But No Snow

  1. Dave says:

    New model runs including European are showing a pretty big snowstorm now for the end of the week. European has been most consistent. Maybe a little rain to start, but flips over to snow with maybe an inch of liquid equivalent. That little burp on the GFS yesterday seems to have been corrected. Gonna be a long week watching this.

  2. Matt says:

    Not looking like enough moisture for the end of week storm

  3. Shawn says:

    Yeah, the GFS is saying rain now and the other models are saying snow. We will find out more closer to the date.

  4. David says:

    Yeah I think their is a decent chance of something happening at the end of next week. The latest GFS run is saying no but that thing flip-flops this far out twice a day.

  5. Matt says: is saying cold temps and a chance for snow Friday into Saturday.

  6. Shawn says:

    Besides the storm on the 29th, there are other storms coming in around the 1st of February and more than likely more to follow. The big question is will it be cold enough to snow. I hope it’s like Bastardi said, “a mirror image of December.” That would be great!

  7. Shawn says:

    The GFS is really thinking about a snow event for our area! It’s looking great!!!

  8. pcasey says:

    We all have to wear life jackets when we go out in our yard. I wish it would freeze until the spring. What a mess!

  9. kristinrosemoon says:

    What a waste of moisture, all this stupid rain…plus it was so raw and chilly today. Cold, but not cold enough for snow. I’d rather have cold weather and sun or cold and snow instead cold rain that is the worst…

  10. snowman says:

    Much of the U.S. should prepare for another round of severe cold and snowy weather, similar to the recent “December to Remember,” but focused farther east.

    Expert Senior Meteorologist and Long-Range Forecaster Joe Bastard sees a “top-ten cold February” in store for much of the U.S., compared to the last 50 years.

    “I believe the physical drivers are all there for a major cold month, much like this December was,” Bastard said.

    He added that the rally in natural gas prices of late may be attributed to other forecasters coming around to his thinking.

    Bastardi suggests that temperatures will be well-below normal for much of the nation in February, with the center of the cold hovering over the Tennessee-Ohio Valley into the Central Appalachians, extending back through the Plains and perhaps the Great Basin.

    An active southern storm track will contribute to above-normal snowfall in many areas that experienced above-normal snowfall in December. Parts of Florida could even have another shot at snow.

    Bastardi said this February will rival the weather seen in previous Februaries known for their severity.

    “It may very well turn into a blend of February ’07 and February ’03, which were the most extreme Februarys we’ve had in the last 15 years,” said Bastardi. Joe believes that the legendary February of 1958 is not beyond reach.

    The demand for heating oil may surge again as the cold weather returns and lingers.

    “This upcoming cold, like December, will slap you in the face and kick you in the wallet,” Bastardi said

  11. Shawn says:

    Do you not realize that there is still more winter left.

  12. Lou says:

    That little bit of snow that we had in december in central va does not qualify as a cold and snowy winter, in my opinion. (Accuweather predicted the cold and snowy winter in virginia)

  13. Sean says:

    Frank, on the previous post you asked what the “GFS” is. The GFS is a forecast model run by NOAA that predicts weather out to set time range measured in hours. The images that it generates are released at set times each day. It is the model used by forecasters to help make their long-range forecasts but it is not their only tool or even their only model. True forecasters use past events, model data and other things to make an educated guess on future weather.

    Wiki page:

  14. Shawn says:

    In a little over a week, the colder air will be back in place (not frigid) over much of the east coast. Along with the colder air comes a southern jet stream (perfect for nor’easters). At least one more good snow (at least 4 inches) is expected.

  15. mark steil says:

    Will some one please remind the weather folks that warmer air is not “good news” or at least it will be warm enough so the good news is no snow.
    There are a lot of us who expect it and like it to be cold and snowy. Please don’t assume that cold weather is not good or bad.
    Thank You,
    Mark Steil

    • Sean says:

      Cold air is good for the people that hound this bog (myself included). The people who are on this blog want snow and don’t care about the ramifications for others.

  16. Ryan says:

    I keep hearing 2 weeks it will get cold again and that was 2 weeks ago! Well I guess i can live with 1 big storm like the last 2 years but would love to actaully have another this year. Oh well time to get the jet ski warmed up.

  17. Mighty Dyckerson says:

    Dag blast it, Andrew Freiden! We want SNOW!!

  18. Do-Do Brown says:

    Well that news certainly stinks… now we’re talking the 2nd week in February as the next chance of any cold air?? much less any winter weather??? Looks like this winter is slowly but surely fading away, as we’d be down to only 2 or 3 weeks left with any TRUE chance of winter weather…..pffft

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