After a slow start to the hurricane season, things have been popping in the tropical Atlantic since the last week of August… and NOAA’s forecast for a very active season is looking pretty accurate.
Naysayers expressed doubts when only 3 named storms had formed during the first 2 and a half months of this year’s season. I must admit harboring reservations about the extreme predictions too. For a time, it appeared that dust and very dry air from Africa, an inhibiting force for storm development, could continue to mitigate things.
That changed, and as of this writing we are up to eleven named storms, with more to come I’m sure. Climatologically we have passed the peak of the season (Sept. 10th), but conditions out there remain ripe for more to form. NOAA predicted 14-20 named storms…the low-end of that certainly will be an easy target to reach.
by Jim Duncan